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檔案條目:
9783639407556 - Beck Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - 書

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

從交貨: 美國德國的書這是一本平裝書新書
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) 或 3639407555

, 在德國, BLUES KIDS OF AMER 01/10/2014, 平裝書, 新增功能
New Book. This item is printed on demand. Shipped from US This item is printed on demand.
從資料 2014-10-19 03:05h
ISBN (替代符號): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
檔案條目:
9783639407556 - Dominik Beck: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - 書

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

從交貨: 德國德國的書這是一本平裝書新書轉載
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) 或 3639407555

, 在德國, Av Akademikerverlag Mrz 2014, 平裝書, 新增功能, 轉載
This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware - Forecasting is of utmost importance in statistics. Besides the very popular point forecasts, there are probability forecasts which naturally incorporate the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Probability forecasts have first been used in meteorology, however, applications are manifold, E.g. in economics the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In order to determine 'good' probability forecasts, the concepts of sharpness and calibration are introduced. Calibration which is the statistical consistency between the forecasts and the observations, is assessed by the Probability Integral Transform (PIT). Sharpness measures the extent to which a probabilistic forecast is spread out and is assessed on the basis of so called scoring rules. These scoring rules are introduced along with some properties, the most important being (strict) propriety. Different scoring rules are introduced such as the quadratic score, the log score or the Ranked Probability Score. The empirical analysis is based on the SPF dataset. In addition to the single forecasts of the participants to the SPF, linear and logarithmic combinations with different weighting schemes of these single forecasts are analysed. Finally, statistical tests for equal predictice power in the sense of the well-known Diebold-Mariano test of these combinations are introduced and used to search for the best combination scheme. 92 pp. Englisch
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從資料 2014-10-19 03:05h
ISBN (替代符號): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
檔案條目:
9783639407556 - Beck Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - 書

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2012) (?)

從交貨: 德國德國的書這是一本平裝書新書轉載
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) 或 3639407555

, 在德國, AV Akademikerverlag, 平裝書, 新增功能, 轉載
This item is printed on demand for shipment within 3 working days.
從資料 2014-10-19 03:05h
ISBN (替代符號): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
檔案條目:
9783639407556 - Beck Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - 書

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

從交貨: 德國德國的書這是一本平裝書新書
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) 或 3639407555

, 在德國, BLUES KIDS OF AMER 01/10/2014, 平裝書, 新增功能
New Book. Shipped from UK. This item is printed on demand.
從資料 2014-10-19 03:05h
ISBN (替代符號): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
檔案條目:
9783639407556 - Beck, Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - 書

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (?)

從交貨: 德國德國的書這是一本平裝書新書
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) 或 3639407555

, 在德國, Av Akademikerverlag, 平裝書, 新增功能
Forecasting is of utmost importance in statistics. Besides the very popular point forecasts, there are probability forecasts which naturally incorporate the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Probability forecasts have first been used in meteorology, however, applications are manifold, E.g. in economics the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In order to determine "good" probability forecasts, the concepts of sharpness and calibration are introduced. Calibration which is the statistical consistency between the forecasts and the observations, is assessed by the Probability Integral Transform (PIT). Sharpness measures the extent to which a probabilistic forecast is spread out and is assessed on the basis of so called scoring rules. These scoring rules are introduced along with some properties, the most important being (strict) propriety. Different scoring rules are introduced such as the quadratic score, the log score or the Ranked Probability Score. The empirical analysis is based on the SPF dataset. In addition to the single forecasts of the participants to the SPF, linear and logarithmic combinations with different weighting schemes of these single forecasts are analysed. Finally, statistical tests for equal predictice power in the sense of the well-known Diebold-Mariano test of these combinations are introduced and used to search for the best combination scheme.92 S. 220 mmVersandfertig in 3-5 Tagen, Softcover
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從資料 2015-09-24 16:49h
ISBN (替代符號): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6

9783639407556

國際標準書號號碼找到可用的所有書 9783639407556 比較價格,快速、 輕鬆地和立即訂購。

可用的善本、 用過的書和二手書的標題 "Evaluating Probability Forecasts: Theory and Application to Macroeconomic Survey Data" 從 Beck, Dominik 完全列出。

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